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BOX 7      Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment – Case of Bahrain       Module
                                                                                                              4





                       In order to assess the impact of SLR on coastal zone resources, Geographical information
                       systems (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) techniques were used to quantitatively assess
                       the extent and impact of SLR on coastal zones of Bahrain islands. Basic data sets include
                       building  a  digital  elevation  model  (DEM)  and  producing  a  classified  satellite  imagery
                       (captured in 1995). SLR scenarios were created assuming different values, starting from 20   Abu Dhabi, UAE
                       cm sea-level rise to 100 cm (the worst scenario).  Vulnerable areas by sectors and land use
                       classes were calculated mathematically by overlaying the classified image over the DEM
                       image. The calculated percentage provides an indication of the degree of vulnerability of a

                       specific sector to the SLR and the future impacts that might be experienced.

                       The study shows that some of the coastal areas in Bahrain will be inundated by seawater.
                       This will bear significant socio-economic and ecological implications since infrastructure and
                       economic activities are concentrated at the coastal zones. Under the modest conservative
                       SLR scenario (20cm SLR), nearly 5% of the total area of Bahrain will be in danger of

                       inundation. Whereas approximately 7% and 10% of the total area of the country will be
                       inundated due to 50 and 100 cm SLR respectively.



























                                                    Al-Jenied, S. and Abido, M. 2004. Impact of Climate
                                                    Change Vulnerability Assessment. General Commission
                                                    for the Protection of Marine Environment and Wildlife.
                                                    Kingdom of Bahrain. 46p.








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