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Module Outreach is important in order to generate a discussion with all stakeholder groups about the content
6 and implication of the scenarios. This provides “buy-in” to the results of the scenario exercise from a

group much larger than that involved in development and analysis of the scenarios. It also can provide
valuable feedback on the results. This can be achieved through a series of workshops in which the
scenarios are presented and discussed.

9-12 December, 2013 throughout the scenario process, and not merely occur at the end. The involvement of a range of
Finally, as discussed above and depicted in Figure 4, communication and outreach should take place

stakeholders in the various stages of the process should be seen as part of the communication and
outreach effort. In fact, experience would indicate that such engagement is potentially the most effective

form of communication and outreach.

References

Alcamo, J. (2001). Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessment. European Environment Agency,
Copenhagen.
Bakkes, J., Henrichs T., Kemp-Benedikt E., Masui T., Nellemann C., Potting J., Rana A., Raskin P., and Rothman D.
(2004). The GEO-3 Scenarios 2002–2032. Quantification and Analysis of Environmental Impacts. UNEP and
RIVM, Nairobi and Bilthoven.

Cosgrove, W.J. and Rijsberman, F.R. (2000). World Water Vision: Making Water Everybody’s Business. Earthscan, London.
Gallopin, G., Hammond A., Raskin P., and Swart R. (1997). Branch Points: Global Scenarios and Human Choice – A
Resource Paper of the Global Scenarios Group. Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm.
Gallopin G. and Raskin P. (2002). Global Sustainability: Bending the Curve. Routledge, London and New York.
Gallopin, G. C. and Rijsberman F. (2000). Three Global Water Scenarios. International Journal of Water 1(1): 16-40.

Galt, M., Chicoine-Piper, G., Chicoine-Piper, N., and Hodgson, A. (1997). Idon Scenario Thinking: How to Navigate
the Uncertainties of Unknown Futures. Idon Thinking Resources Ltd., Pitlochry.
Glenn, J. C. and Gordon, T. J., Eds. (2005). 2005 State of the Future. American Council for the United Nations
University, Washington.
Global Business Network (2003). “The Mont Fleur Scenarios: What Will South Africa Be Like in the Year 2002?”
Deeper News, 7(1). http://www.gbn.com/GBNDocumentDisplayServlet.srv?aid=455&url=%2FUploadDocumen
tDisplayServlet.srv%3Fid%3D12454.

IPCC (2000). Emission Scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Kahane, A. (with Roux, P.) (1992). “The Mont Fleur Scenarios.” GBN Deeper News, http://www.gbn.com
Kahane, A. (1998). “Destino Colombia: A Scenario-Planning Process for the New Millennium.” GBN Deeper
News, http://www.gbn.com
Kahn, H. and Wiener, A. (1967). The Year 2000. Macmillan, New York.

Kahn, H., Brown W., and Martel L. (1976). The Next 200 Years: A Scenario for America and the World. William
Morrow & Company, New York.

56 Scenario Development and Analysis