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Module
                       Table 1: Examples of major projected impacts on selected sectors

                   Climate driven   Agriculture, forestry  Water resources   Human health  Industry, settlements
                   phenomena       and ecosystems                                     and society
                       ? Drought      ? Land degradation    ? More widespread  ? Increased     ? Water shortages for

                      affected areas     ? Crop damage and   water stress  risk of      settlements, industry
                      increase       failure                             malnutrition   and societies

                                      ? Increased                         ? Increased risk  ? Reduced hydropower
                                     livestock deaths                    of water and   generation potential
                                      ? Increased risk of                food-borne                                Abu Dhabi, UAE
                                     wildfire                            diseases



                       ? Cyclones and  ? Damage to crops  ? Power outages     ? Increased risk  ? Withdrawal of risk

                      storm surges     ? Wind throws   cause disruption   of deaths,    coverage in vulnerable
                       ? Frequency   (uprooting) of    of public water   injuries       areas by private
                      increases      trees             supply            water and      insurers
                                                                         food-borne
                                                                         diseases

                                      ? Damage of coral                   ? Post-        ? Potential for
                                     reefs                               traumatic      population migrations
                                                                         stress          ? Loss of property
                                                                         disorders

                       ? Sea level rise     ? Salinization of     ? Decreased     ? Increased risk  ? Costs of coastal

                       ? Increased   irrigation water,   freshwater      of death and   protection versus cost
                      incidence      estuaries and     availability due   injuries by   of land-use relocations
                      of extreme     freshwater        to salt water     drowning in     ? Potential for
                      high sea-level   systems         intrusion         floods         movements of
                      (excluding                                          ? Migration-  population and
                      tsunamis)                                          related health   infrastructure
                                                                         effects



                       Source: UNEP, 2009





                   In the previous chapter, we focused on identifying drivers, pressures, impacts and responses to cope
                   with current climate, climate variability  and weather-related  challenges. Similarly, we can estimate
                   how future climate change will alter the human and natural environment. Figure 9 shows that we can
                   integrate estimated climate changes such as sea-level rise, increased occurrence of cyclones, changes
                   in precipitation patterns as trends, and then develop the rest of the elements of the DPSIR. If available,
                   we can also add future pressures and drivers outlined in scenarios of future socio-economic changes
                   developed based on IEA Module 6.





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