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hand, are more likely to take these as given. In the latter case, the policy question to be asked Module
can be phrased as, “What can we do to cope best with the set of possible situations we might
face?” In the former, a more relevant question would be, “What could we do to create a 6
particular situation?”
Combining the above, we can talk about eight cases
Case Existing Preconceived Policies determine Potential uses
policies? end visions? the scenario? Abu Dhabi, UAE
a YES YES YES Test particular policies to see if they can
create the conditions under which end visions
or specific targets can be achieved,
while also considering the broader
implications of the policies.
b YES YES NO Test particular policies to see whether and
to what extent they can help to achieve end
visions or specific targets under otherwise
fixed conditions, while also considering the
broader implications of the policies.
c YES NO YES Explore the role of particular policies in
determining the broad nature of the future.
d YES NO NO Explore the effects of particular policies under
otherwise fixed conditions.
e NO YES YES Identify policies that can create the conditions
under which end visions or specific targets
can be achieved, while also considering the
broader implications of the policies
f NO YES NO Identify policies that can help to meet specific
targets under given conditions, while also
considering the broader implications of the
policies.
g NO NO YES Identify policies that may determine the broad
nature of the future.
h NO NO NO Identify policies and their implications under
certain given conditions.
IEA Training Manual Workshop for the National Reporting Toolkit (NRT) 27