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* Why is scenario development the appropriate approach for dealing with the problem? Module

* Who is the audience? 6

* What types of scenarios are needed to address the problem and to communicate to the
audience? Would a backcasting or forward-looking approach be better?

* What time frame should be considered? Should the scenarios be narrative and/or quantitative?

* How are the scenarios to be developed connected with scenarios developed for higher levels
(e.g., regional or global)? Abu Dhabi, UAE
* What do we want to have achieved by the end of the scenario process (e.g., new policy options,

better understanding of a particular issue, better understanding of a region’s most pressing
concerns for the future)?

* What resources (e.g., time, money, people) are needed to achieve the goal and is it possible/
desirable to make that investment?
* What is the expected role of the scenario team, and what are the expected roles of other

stakeholders and participants?

2. If not done so originally, the above questions should be revisited in consultation with the participants
selected to take part in the scenario exercise.

Comments
This step provides clarity and focus for the scenario team, a strong reasoning to support the approach

adopted and valuable context material for those subsequently engaged in the process.

EXERCISE

In a previous exercise, you have selected an issue and discussed which existing policies
would be relevant for consideration in the scenario. These provide the answers to the first
four questions presented above.

Discuss the remaining questions in plenary.

IEA Training Manual Workshop for the National Reporting Toolkit (NRT) 35