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Module
6
EXERCISE
Continuing the previous discussion in plenary produce a list of the stakeholders that would
have to be included in the scenario exercises.
Abu Dhabi, UAE
c. Identifying themes, targets, potential policies and indicators
One of the most daunting aspects of any scenario exercise, particularly one that is intended to consider
a range of issues in an integrated fashion, is identifying the key issues or problems of concern. It is
important to be clear about a number of factors, such as:
? what are the key themes upon which the scenarios should focus;
? what, if any, are the key targets and/or goals that should be considered in evaluating the
scenarios;
? what are the most useful indicators for describing the system of interest; which can help us to see
if targets are being met; and
? what, if any, are the key policies we wish to explore as part of the scenario exercise?
As these four aspects are intricately related, they are best treated at the same stage in a scenario
exercise. Some exercises will start with identified themes, which in turn suggest targets and policies
for consideration; in other cases, the targets or the policies may themselves be the starting point
for the exercise. In all cases, the indicators need to be able to accurately represent these targets
or policies in the scenarios. Thus, there is no correct answer as to which of the following should
be done first, or if they should be done together or as separate steps. For the purposes of clarity,
we describe them one at a time.
Identifying themes
Purpose
To determine the important themes on which the scenario exercise will focus.
Output(s)
An initial list of themes with brief explanations.
IEA Training Manual Workshop for the National Reporting Toolkit (NRT) 37