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Comments                                                                                   Module

                   Figure 6 summarizes an exercise in which a number of key issues are profiled for each of four GSG   6
                   scenarios, upon which the GEO-3 and GEO-4 scenarios were based (Raskin and Kemp-Benedict 2004).
                   This semi-quantitative analysis not only provided a valuable starting point for the modeling exercises,
                   but also provided valuable insights and consistency checks for the comparison of the narratives with
                                                                                                                   Abu Dhabi, UAE
                   the quantitative outputs.




                        Figure 6    Trends in indicators in four GSG scenarios.












                       Scenario
                       Conventional Worlds
                          ? Market Forces


                          ? Policy Reform


                       Barbarization
                          ? Breakdown


                          ? Fortress World


                       Great Transitions

                          ? Eco-Communalism

                          ? New Sustainability
                         Paradigm




                                                     Source: http://www.unep.org/geo/pdfs/GEO_ScenarioFramework.pdf













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